Presidential candidate gets 'big uptick' and race is now 'almost a toss-up,' top forecaster predicts

Trending 2 months ago

By Dailymail.Com Political Reporters

Published: 08:01 EDT, 31 July 2024 | Updated: 11:47 EDT, 31 July 2024

Advertisement

Kamala Harris has received a boost successful apical forecaster Nate Silver's closely-watched polling model.

Harris now has a 43 percent chance of winning nan Electoral College and nan title is 'almost a toss-up,' Silver said.

It comes pinch little than 100 days to nan predetermination and arsenic nan world is reacting to nan assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh successful Iran.

Follow DailyMail.com's U.S. authorities blog for each nan latest developments.

Kamala Harris gets a BIG boost successful exemplary forecasting who will triumph Electoral College

FILE - Vice President Kamala Harris boards Air Force Two arsenic she departs Westfield-Barnes Regional Airport successful Westfield, Mass., July 27, 2024. With little than 100 days until Election Day, Harris faces unsocial challenges successful pitching her argumentation ideas to Americans. (AP Photo/Stephanie Scarbrough, Pool, File)

Nate Silver updated his exemplary forecasting who has nan amended chances of winning nan statesmanlike election.

His latest information shows Kamala Harris pinch a 42.5 percent chance of clinching nan Electoral College ballot while Trump has a 56.9 percent chance.

However, connected Tuesday Harris' probability of winning nan Electoral College was astatine conscionable 38.1 percent.

Trump returns to Pennsylvania for first clip since being shot

By Katelyn Caralle, Senior U.S. Political Reporter successful Pennsylvania

Donald Trump is returning to Pennsylvania connected Wednesday for nan first clip since he was changeable astatine a rally successful nan authorities earlier this month.

Just 17 days aft nan assassination attempt, nan erstwhile president is returning to nan cardinal battleground state.

The rally successful Pennsylvania’s superior of Harrisburg is conscionable nan 3rd since nan shooting and since becoming nan Republican statesmanlike nominee.

The FBI and aggregate legislature committees are investigating nan near-death of Trump and nan information failures that allowed nan shooter to get conscionable 130 yards distant from nan shape pinch an AR-style weapon.

Trump run spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt told DailyMail.com:

President Trump loves Pennsylvania and nan awesome group who unrecorded location and looks guardant to returning!

Shooter Thomas Matthew Crooks, 20, was neutralized by nan Secret Service – but not earlier shooting Trump conscionable centimeters from his brain, sidesplitting 1 rally goer and critically injuring 2 others.

Pennsylvania is captious to clinch successful nan 2024 title and is 1 of conscionable a fistful of states that will find nan result successful November.

Trump nabbed a triumph successful nan Keystone State successful 2016 by conscionable 0.7 percent. But successful 2020, nan authorities flipped bluish to manus Biden a triumph complete nan incumbent by a 1.2 percent gap.

Pennsylvania’s Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro campaigned for Vice President Kamala Harris successful a Philadelphia suburb connected Monday pinch Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. Shapiro is being floated arsenic a moving mate for Harris aft she became nan Democrat’s de facto nominee past week.

 Republican statesmanlike campaigner and erstwhile U.S. President Donald Trump gestures pinch a bloodied look while he is assisted by U.S. Secret Service unit aft he was changeable successful nan correct receptor during a run rally astatine nan Butler Farm Show successful Butler, Pennsylvania, U.S., July 13, 2024. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo

Donald Trump says Kamala is simply a 'weird person'

Trump deed backmost astatine Democrat attacks connected nan Republican summons being 'weird'. He told Fox News:

Just plain weird. You cognize who’s plain weird? She’s plain weird. She’s a weird person
Look astatine her past, look astatine what she does, and look astatine what she utilized to opportunity astir herself. And I won’t get into it, what she utilized to opportunity and who she was compared to, what she said. Starting successful astir 2016 she became a wholly different personification only for governmental reasons.

 Democratic statesmanlike candidate, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks astatine a run rally astatine nan Georgia State Convocation Center connected July 30, 2024 successful Atlanta, Georgia. Both Harris and Republican statesmanlike nominee, erstwhile President Donald Trump scheme to run successful Atlanta this week.  (Photo by Megan Varner/Getty Images)

Donald Trump calls Kamala Harris a 'weird person' and slams her complete nan pronouns she goes by

Former President Donald Trump reached for his trusty 'I'm rubber, you're glue' defense aft many times being branded weird by nan Harris run – calling nan vice president a 'weird person.'

'Listen, this full point is simply a con job. "Just plain weird." Do you cognize who is plain weird? She’s plain weird,' Trump told nan big connected her Ingraham Angle show.

'She’s a weird person. Look astatine her past. Look astatine what she does.'

Emhoff teams up pinch Letterman

Doug Emhoff posted a tiny video connected societal media pinch David Letterman.

The 2 men were astatine a fundraiser for Kamala Harris' run successful Martha's Vineyard.

Playing connected nan taxable that nan torch has been passed by Joe Biden to Harris, Emhoff passed his telephone to Letterman.

Letterman, successful turn, passed it to Jack Schlossberg, nan boy of Caroline Kennedy and a governmental analogous for Vogue.

Jill Biden was primitively scheduled to be nan fundraiser pinch Letterman but Emhoff stepped successful aft Joe Biden exited nan statesmanlike race.

Maya Rudolph to return to SNL to play Kamala Harris

Maya Rudolph appears astatine nan Time100 Gala successful New York connected April 25, 2024, left, and Vice President Kamala Harris appears astatine a luncheon for Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida astatine nan State Department successful Washington connected April 11, 2024. (AP Photo)

Actress and comedian Maya Rudolph will beryllium returning to Saturday Night Live to reprise her Emmy-winning domiciled arsenic Vice President Kamala Harris.

Rudolph will play Harris astatine slightest throught nan 2024 predetermination this November, CNN reports.

It comes arsenic nan vice president is now halfway shape arsenic nan presumptive Democratic statesmanlike nominee.

Harris rakes successful rate astatine Houston fundraiser

FILE - Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during nan American Federation of Teachers' 88th nationalist convention, July 25, 2024, successful Houston. Harris appears to person energized Democrats successful nan early days of her candidacy, according to a caller canvass from nan AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research that was conducted aft President Joe Biden withdrew from nan race. About 8 successful 10 Democrats opportunity they would beryllium very aliases somewhat satisfied if Harris became nan Democratic nominee for president. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez, file)

Kamala Harris has raised $2.5 cardinal from a fundraiser group to return spot successful Houston connected Wednesday evening.

CNN reported nan number. Harris besides speak astatine nan Divine Nine sorority, a salient African American sorority.

While Harris is successful Texas, Donald Trump will speak to nan National Association of Black Journalists successful Chicago.

The vice president als0 was invited to be but said she could only be virtually, citing her schedule.

Harris will overnight successful Texas to be Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee’s ceremonial connected Thursday successful Houston.

Democratic delegates to statesman voting to officially make Kamala Harris nan statesmanlike nominee tomorrow

TOPSHOT - US Vice President and 2024 Democratic statesmanlike campaigner Kamala Harris speaks astatine a run rally successful Atlanta, Georgia, connected July 30, 2024. (Photo by Elijah Nouvelage / AFP) (Photo by ELIJAH NOUVELAGE/AFP via Getty Images)

By Sarah Ewall-Wice, Senior U.S. Political Reporter

Democratic delegates will statesman voting successful nan virtual rotation telephone to officially make Vice President Kamala Harris nan Democratic statesmanlike nominee connected Thursday.

The DNC and DNCC chairs announced Tuesday that only Harris qualified for nan ballot aft 3,923 delegates petitioned to get her connected nan ballot for nan nomination.

Harris secured support from 99 percent of participating delegates.

Voting connected nan virtual rotation telephone to officially make her nan nominee will statesman Aug. 1 and tally done Aug. 5.

Delegates will person a unafraid ballot to formed their ballot connected a rolling basis.

Trump heads to Chicago to reside achromatic journalists aft MUCH drama

Trump reside to achromatic journalists causes outrage

Donald Trump's invitation to reside an relation of achromatic journalists - on pinch nan group's shunning of Kamala Harris - has sparked outrage, resignations, and internecine fighting among its membership.

Trump is scheduled to return portion of moderated chat pinch nan National Association of Black Journalists connected Wednesday astatine their yearly normal successful Chicago.

Meanwhile, nan group declined an connection from Harris to look for a virtual conversation. The vice president could not look successful personification owed to logistical reasons, including her attendance astatine nan ceremonial of nan precocious Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee successful Texas.

Kamala's ex-boyfriend, 90, thinks Joe Biden should springiness nan presidency to her

Vice President Kamala Harris' overmuch older ex-boyfriend Willie Brown believes that President Joe Biden should measurement down arsenic president truthful that she tin return nan job.

Brown said pinch Politico columnist Jonathan Martin, revealing his thoughts astir Harris, whom he dated erstwhile he was 60 and moving for politician of San Francisco and she was a comparatively chartless 29-year-old Ameda County prosecutor.

Brown joked that if Harris won nan presidency, 'She’ll deport my ass,' a joke he has agelong made astir his erstwhile woman turned governmental protege.

He besides revealed that Harris was not erstwhile House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's first prime for president and that he worked to make judge his different governmental protege Gov. Gavin Newsom was afloat down Harris.

Biden to header first time of Democratic normal successful Chicago

FILE - Vice President Kamala Harris embraces President Joe Biden aft a reside connected healthcare successful Raleigh, N.C., March. 26, 2024. Much has changed astir nan 2024 statesmanlike predetermination successful nan United States. Now that President Joe Biden is retired of nan race, and Vice President Kamala Harris is in, Donald Trump is having to pivot his run to a caller challenger. (AP Photo/Matt Kelley, File)

President Joe Biden is group to header nan first time of nan Democratic Convention successful Chicago that will nominate Vice President Kamala Harris aft Biden dropped retired of nan race.

The awkward but politically basal handoff will hap connected Monday, nan first of 4 days to beryllium keynoted by statement luminaries, culminating successful an expected reside by Harris connected Thursday.

‘Monday nighttime is Joe’s night,’ a root told CNN.

'Convention is our opportunity to show our communicative straight to nan American people, rally down nan Democratic nominees, and turn our wide and divers conjugation to conclusion Donald Trump,’ normal elder communications head Matt Hill said, without confirming nan report.

‘We look guardant to sharing much soon astir our normal successful Chicago wherever Democrats will connection a forward-looking imagination for our state that stands successful stark opposition to nan extremism from Donald Trump's normal that would return America backwards.’

Biden management takes caller measurement toward canceling student indebtedness debt for much than 30 cardinal borrowers

The Biden management connected Wednesday announced it will statesman moving guardant pinch adjacent steps successful canceling student indebtedness debt for tens of millions of borrowers this fall.

This week nan Education Department will commencement emailing borrowers who person astatine slightest 1 national student indebtedness pinch an update connected nan imaginable student indebtedness debt forgiveness disposable to them nether nan norm changes being finalized this fall.

It is nan latest move successful an a monolithic effort by President Biden to swipe retired billions successful student indebtedness debt. The management has already canceled much than $168 cardinal successful indebtedness for immoderate 4.8 cardinal borrowers.

The rules if finalized would bring nan full number of borrowers eligible for student indebtedness debt cancelation to much than 30 million, including those who person already had indebtedness wiped retired since Biden took office.

Kamala Harris gives awesome hint who her moving mate will be

Dems satisfied pinch Harris arsenic nominee but deliberation Trump will win

TOPSHOT - US Vice President and 2024 Democratic statesmanlike campaigner Kamala Harris speaks astatine a run arena successful Atlanta, Georgia, connected July 30, 2024. (Photo by Elijah Nouvelage / AFP) (Photo by ELIJAH NOUVELAGE/AFP via Getty Images)

Kamala Harris appears to beryllium rallying Democrats down her candidacy but a mostly deliberation Donald Trump will triumph successful November.

About 8 successful 10 Democrats opportunity they are somewhat aliases very satisfied pinch Harris arsenic nan Democratic nominee, according to a caller canvass from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research.

That canvass was taken aft Joe Biden near nan race.

In a canvass taken earlier Biden stepped down – but aft his disastrous statement pinch Donald Trump – only 4 successful 10 Democrats were satisfied pinch him arsenic nan nominee.

However, 56%, opportunity that if Trump and Harris are nan nominees successful nan November election, Trump is much apt to win.

Exclusive: Democrats uncover who Kamala Harris should prime arsenic her VP

Democrats are pushing for their favourite colleagues and friends to beryllium considered for Vice President Kamala Harris's moving mate.

Harris is reportedly getting adjacent to choosing a VP and could beryllium retired connected nan run way pinch her second-in-command by her broadside arsenic soon arsenic adjacent week.

After quickly obtaining nan Democratic party's afloat support pursuing President Joe Biden's monumental reelection exit conscionable complete a week ago, she started vetting imaginable No. 2 options.

The apical contenders thought to beryllium successful nan moving see Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly, Michigan Sen. Gary Peters, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg.

Democrat charismatic says Kamala Harris will NOT win...here's why

Trump attacks Kamala Harris complete pronouns

Donald Trump was asked connected Fox News astir Kamala Harris utilizing nan pronouns ‘she/her' successful her X bio. he said:

“ don’t want pronouns. I don’t want pronouns.

Asked if he was 'fluid' he said:

Nobody moreover knows what that means. Ask her to picture precisely what that means.

Key Updates

  • Trump returns to Pennsylvania for first clip since being shot

  • Democrat charismatic says Kamala Harris will NOT win...here's why

  • Trump attacks Kamala Harris complete pronouns

More
Source dailymail
dailymail