IEA Sees Lower 2025 Oil Demand Following Slow Q2

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Key Takeaways

  • Oil request won't turn arsenic overmuch arsenic antecedently anticipated adjacent year, nan International Energy Agency said Thursday.
  • The IEA said request maturation successful nan 2nd 4th was nan slowest since nan 4th fourth of 2022, driven by shrinking depletion successful China.
  • The world lipid marketplace will apt beryllium successful a authorities of surplus adjacent year, arsenic request slows acknowledgment to nan increasing efforts to displacement distant from fossil fuels done methods for illustration electrical cars.

Demand for lipid successful 2025 is projected to turn little than antecedently expected aft nan world lipid marketplace had its slowest 4th since nan extremity of 2022, nan International Energy Agency (IEA) said successful a caller monthly study Thursday.

Oil request grew by 710,000 barrels per time year-over-year successful nan 2nd quarter, which nan IEA said is nan slowest maturation since nan 4th fourth of 2022. Consumption successful China, 1 of nan astir important markets for lipid crossed nan globe, contracted successful April and May, putting its existent depletion levels somewhat beneath nan aforesaid clip past year, nan IEA said.

Oil Market Faces Headwinds successful 2025

The agency said it expects request maturation for nan 2024 to beryllium astir 970,000 barrels per day, pinch a projection of 980,000 barrels per time for 2025, lowered from a erstwhile projection of 1 cardinal barrels per day.

The world lipid marketplace faces respective headwinds heading into nan 2nd half of this twelvemonth and into 2025, including "subpar economical growth, greater efficiencies and conveyance electrification," nan IEA said.

As request has slowed, accumulation has continued to increase, pinch lipid accumulation increasing 910,000 barrels per time from nan first quarter, pinch nan U.S. starring nan way. The IEA is projecting proviso maturation of 770,000 barrels per time successful nan 3rd quarter, pinch astir of nan maturation coming from non-OPEC+ producers.

Supply will apt proceed to outpace request adjacent year, arsenic nan IEA said it expects 2025 accumulation maturation averages of 1.8 cardinal barrels per day, acknowledgment to rising accumulation from nan U.S., Canada, Brazil, and Guyana.

Oil futures were small changed arsenic of 8:15 a.m. ET Thursday, pinch world Brent crude astatine $85.15 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) at $82.07.

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